GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
RSGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 18 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 17 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 15 games
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 11 games
Grimstrokesignature
Shanks · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 10 games
RSG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
709 picks · 525 bans
Puck
513 picks · 998 bans
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 542 bans
Marci
398 picks · 731 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 197 bans
Winter Wyvern
340 picks · 346 bans
Zeus
303 picks · 341 bans
Razor
296 picks · 608 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% RSG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Execration 40%RSG 60%
The model gave 60% on RSG — the game was taken by RSG.
Model check result
Model favoriteRSG · 60%
Series resultRSG 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1