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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 1:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 23 games
61%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 21 game
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
72%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 18 games
78%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 14 games
64%

Talon Esports

Tiny
Tiny
Xepher · 14 games
43%
Bane
Bane
Hyde · 13 games
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
kpii · 13 games
54%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Q · 13 games
46%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 11 games
82%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marssignature
kpii · 11 games
64%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
709 picks · 525 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
513 picks · 998 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 542 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
398 picks · 731 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 197 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
340 picks · 346 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
303 picks · 341 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
296 picks · 608 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total65% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BOOM Esports 65%Talon Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 65%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1