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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
EZ KATKAwin 2:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GUBINA13loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EZ KATKA

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 5 games
20%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Wuiter · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 3 games
33%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Wuiter · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Rvze · 3 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 3 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Wuiter · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Lukas · 2 games
50%

GUBINA13

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 4 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yuragi · 3 games
33%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
100%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 2 games
0%
Arc Warden
Arc Warden
Alberkaaa · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
706 picks · 522 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
513 picks · 993 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
430 picks · 538 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
395 picks · 728 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
375 picks · 199 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
339 picks · 342 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
302 picks · 334 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
295 picks · 607 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% GUBINA13
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% GUBINA13
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:34
EZ KATKA 45%GUBINA13 55%
The model gave 55% on GUBINA13 — the game was taken by GUBINA13 in 29:38.
Game 2prediction missed34:12
EZ KATKA 45%GUBINA13 55%
The model gave 55% on GUBINA13 — the game was taken by EZ KATKA in 31:26.
Game 3prediction missed27:26
EZ KATKA 45%GUBINA13 55%
The model gave 55% on GUBINA13 — the game was taken by EZ KATKA in 40:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteGUBINA13 · 55%
Series resultEZ KATKA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3