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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 1:0
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team SMGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 18 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 17 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 15 games
47%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 11 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Shanks · 10 games
60%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 10 games
70%

Team SMG

Bane
Bane
ninjaboogie · 10 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
pieliedie · 7 games
57%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
AhFu · 7 games
86%
Io
Iooften banned
AhFu · 6 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
AhFu · 6 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
MidOne · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 5 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
706 picks · 522 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
512 picks · 992 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
428 picks · 538 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
395 picks · 727 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
377 picks · 199 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
339 picks · 340 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
302 picks · 333 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
294 picks · 607 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total77% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Execration 23%Team SMG 77%
The model gave 77% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Execration.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 77%
Series resultExecration 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1