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Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HFloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 29 games
52%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
53%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
72%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 14 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Hduo · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
38%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 12 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Egor · 12 games
25%

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 13 games
54%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 13 games
62%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
60%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
706 picks · 519 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
511 picks · 988 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
425 picks · 537 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
394 picks · 723 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
377 picks · 199 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 338 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
302 picks · 333 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
293 picks · 607 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% HF
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:37
cybercats 53%HF 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by HF in 33:32.
Game 2prediction correct25:19
cybercats 53%HF 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 30:50.
Game 3prediction correct9:20
cybercats 53%HF 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 25:23.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 53%
Series resultcybercats 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3