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1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
EZ KATKAloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EZ KATKA

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 5 games
20%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Wuiter · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 3 games
33%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Wuiter · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Rvze · 3 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 3 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Wuiter · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Lukas · 2 games
50%

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
706 picks · 519 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
511 picks · 988 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
425 picks · 537 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
394 picks · 723 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
377 picks · 199 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 338 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
302 picks · 333 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
293 picks · 607 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% EZ KATKA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:15
EZ KATKA 50%YNT 50%
The model gave 50% on EZ KATKA — the game was taken by YNT in 24:45.
Game 2prediction missed
EZ KATKA 50%YNT 50%
The model gave 50% on EZ KATKA — the game was taken by YNT.
Model check result
Model favoriteEZ KATKA · 50%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2