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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Talon Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Polaris Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nevermine · 19 games
68%
Tiny
Tiny
Boomy · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Nevermine · 17 games
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Boomy · 13 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boomy · 12 games
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Mac · 11 games
64%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Natsumi · 11 games
73%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Natsumi · 10 games
50%

Talon Esports

Tiny
Tiny
Xepher · 14 games
43%
Bane
Bane
Hyde · 13 games
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
kpii · 13 games
54%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Q · 13 games
46%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 11 games
82%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marssignature
kpii · 11 games
64%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
707 picks · 520 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
511 picks · 990 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
425 picks · 537 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
394 picks · 723 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
378 picks · 199 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
340 picks · 338 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
302 picks · 333 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
293 picks · 607 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total55% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Polaris Esports 45%Talon Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 55%
Series resultTalon Esports 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1