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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Polaris Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 23 games
61%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 21 game
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
72%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 18 games
78%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 14 games
64%

Polaris Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nevermine · 19 games
68%
Tiny
Tiny
Boomy · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Nevermine · 17 games
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Boomy · 13 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boomy · 12 games
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Mac · 11 games
64%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Natsumi · 11 games
73%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Natsumi · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
707 picks · 520 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
511 picks · 990 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
425 picks · 537 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
394 picks · 723 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
378 picks · 199 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
340 picks · 338 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
302 picks · 333 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
293 picks · 607 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total78% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BOOM Esports 78%Polaris Esports 22%
The model gave 78% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Polaris Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 78%
Series resultPolaris Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1