Thunderpick Bitcoin Series · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingseries probability
37%63%
probability at match start
Mad KingsThe prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Snapfire
The Warden · 20 games
Tiny
iAnnihilate · 16 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 14 games
Grimstrokesignature
The Warden · 13 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 13 games
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 13 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Ark · 12 games
Skywrath Magesignature
The Warden · 12 games
Mad Kings
Beastmastersignature
Frank · 13 games
Ogre Magisignature
Mjz · 13 games
Tinysignature
sl4d1n- · 12 games
Bloodseekersignature
Mnz · 11 games
Visageoften banned
drakeel · 9 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Mjz · 8 games
Rubicksignature
MoOz · 8 games
Weaveroften banned
drakeel · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
705 picks · 516 bans
Puck
507 picks · 988 bans
Dawnbreaker
424 picks · 534 bans
Marci
392 picks · 721 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 198 bans
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 336 bans
Zeus
302 picks · 330 bans
Razor
293 picks · 604 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Mad Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMad Kings · 63%