Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARI PARNIwin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARI PARNI
No games played over 6 months.
YNT
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
jesv · 9 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
Bane
dSa · 7 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
702 picks · 514 bans
Puck
504 picks · 986 bans
Dawnbreaker
422 picks · 533 bans
Marci
392 picks · 717 bans
Snapfire
375 picks · 196 bans
Winter Wyvern
335 picks · 335 bans
Zeus
302 picks · 326 bans
Razor
292 picks · 602 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% PARI PARNI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% PARI PARNI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:29
PARI PARNI 52%YNT 48%
The model gave 52% on PARI PARNI — the game was taken by YNT in 31:57.
Game 2prediction missed4:27
PARI PARNI 52%YNT 48%
The model gave 52% on PARI PARNI — the game was taken by YNT in 14:01.
Model check result
Model favoritePARI PARNI · 52%
Series resultPARI PARNI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2