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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
GUBINA13loss 0:2
series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GUBINA13

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 4 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yuragi · 3 games
33%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
100%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 2 games
0%
Arc Warden
Arc Warden
Alberkaaa · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
0%

One Move

Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 31 game
81%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 29 games
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 28 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 23 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 17 games
88%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 15 games
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
sayuw · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
702 picks · 513 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
505 picks · 985 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
422 picks · 532 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
391 picks · 717 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 196 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
334 picks · 334 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
302 picks · 325 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
291 picks · 603 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength64% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:25
GUBINA13 19%One Move 81%
The model gave 81% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 20:33.
Game 2prediction correct22:29
GUBINA13 19%One Move 81%
The model gave 81% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 26:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 81%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2