Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:2series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
jfshfh178win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 17 games
Tinysignature
OmaR · 15 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 14 games
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 12 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 12 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 10 games
jfshfh178
Chaos Knightoften banned
paradise' · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
lilskrip · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
Nefrit · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Pikachu · 1 game
Tiny
illusion · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
700 picks · 511 bans
Puck
504 picks · 986 bans
Dawnbreaker
418 picks · 530 bans
Marci
388 picks · 711 bans
Snapfire
379 picks · 194 bans
Winter Wyvern
331 picks · 329 bans
Zeus
301 picks · 319 bans
Razor
291 picks · 599 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% jfshfh178
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:47
PSG Quest 59%jfshfh178 41%
The model gave 59% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by jfshfh178 in 42:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DawnbreakerEixn
Alchemistparadise'
MarciOmaR
Winter WyvernPikachu
59% · 61 game
Death ProphetNefrit
51% · 221 game
Tinyillusion
54% · 66 games
Dazzlelilskrip
Game 2prediction missed7:20
PSG Quest 62%jfshfh178 38%
The model gave 62% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by jfshfh178 in 22:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
IoEixn
Alchemistparadise'
TinyOmaR
Death ProphetPikachu
51% · 105 games
BeastmasterNefrit
58% · 115 games
Marciillusion
44% · 63 games
Dazzlelilskrip
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 69%
Series resultjfshfh178 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2