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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 46 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 34 games
59%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 25 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
65%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%

PARIVISION

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 24 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
9Class · 19 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
56%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 17 games
41%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
41%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
683 picks · 853 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
591 picks · 610 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
497 picks · 429 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
492 picks · 337 bans
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
427 picks · 1118 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
406 picks · 701 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
404 picks · 1032 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 631 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 7
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:20
BETBOOM TEAM 54%PARIVISION 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 51:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaKiritych
56% · 154 games47% · 90 games
LifestealerSatanic
Lifestealer
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
50% · 282 games52% · 462 games
PuckNo[o]ne
Puck
Omniknight
OmniknightMieRo
47% · 43 games51% · 329 games
BristlebackSSS
Bristleback
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
51% · 256 games45% · 166 games
EnchantressDukalis
Enchantress
Tusk
TuskKataomi
49% · 383 games48% · 71 game
Rubick9Class
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1