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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO5
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 2:3
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:3
BETBOOM TEAMwin 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 31 game
81%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 29 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 29 games
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 29 games
69%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 20 games
85%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Smiling Knight · 17 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 15 games
40%

BETBOOM TEAM

Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 10 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Bane
Bane
Bignum · 5 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Petushara · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
650 picks · 470 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 967 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
376 picks · 449 bans
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 189 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 574 bans
47%
Marci
Marci
327 picks · 649 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
324 picks · 435 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
302 picks · 599 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% One Move
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:43
One Move 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 55:52.
Game 2prediction missed6:31
One Move 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by One Move in 29:02.
Game 3prediction missed30:16
One Move 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by One Move in 43:25.
Game 4prediction correct35:16
One Move 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:28.
Game 5prediction correct35:15
One Move 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5