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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:2
One Movewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 10 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 6 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%

One Move

Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 31 game
81%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 29 games
69%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 29 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
mellojul · 27 games
59%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 20 games
85%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Smiling Knight · 16 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
648 picks · 474 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 967 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
375 picks · 449 bans
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 190 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
345 picks · 575 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
326 picks · 438 bans
51%
Marci
Marci
326 picks · 649 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 599 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% One Move
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:11
BETBOOM TEAM 76%One Move 24%
The model gave 76% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 22:32.
Game 2prediction missed11:46
BETBOOM TEAM 76%One Move 24%
The model gave 76% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by One Move in 40:38.
Game 3prediction missed9:31
BETBOOM TEAM 76%One Move 24%
The model gave 76% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by One Move in 29:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 76%
Series resultOne Move 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3