Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MooN teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
Skywrath Mage
dEsire · 14 games
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 13 games
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 12 games
Mirana
dEsire · 11 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ThuG · 11 games
Enchantresssignature
SsaSpartan · 10 games
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
645 picks · 473 bans
Puck
445 picks · 965 bans
Dawnbreaker
374 picks · 444 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 190 bans
Mars
347 picks · 580 bans
Dragon Knight
326 picks · 444 bans
Marci
321 picks · 647 bans
Ember Spirit
302 picks · 599 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% MooN team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:39
Brame 45%MooN team 55%
The model gave 55% on MooN team — the game was taken by Brame in 29:33.
Game 2prediction missed9:16
Brame 45%MooN team 55%
The model gave 55% on MooN team — the game was taken by Brame in 21:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteMooN team · 55%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2