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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:1
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 28 games
61%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 24 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 21 game
90%
Tiny
Tinysignature
dyrachyo · 20 games
65%
Bane
Bane
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dyrachyo · 19 games
42%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
53%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
645 picks · 473 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 965 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
374 picks · 444 bans
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 190 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
347 picks · 580 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
326 picks · 444 bans
50%
Marci
Marci
321 picks · 647 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
302 picks · 599 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 49%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total73% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:31
Team Unique 27%Gaimin Gladiators 73%
The model gave 73% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:51.
Game 2prediction correct13:30
Team Unique 27%Gaimin Gladiators 73%
The model gave 73% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:09.
Game 3prediction correct34:17
Team Unique 27%Gaimin Gladiators 73%
The model gave 73% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 42:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 73%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3