Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 10 games
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 7 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 6 games
Clockwerk
Bignum · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
645 picks · 475 bans
Puck
445 picks · 965 bans
Dawnbreaker
372 picks · 442 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 190 bans
Mars
347 picks · 582 bans
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 444 bans
Marci
320 picks · 645 bans
Bane
303 picks · 187 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:18
Team Unique 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:36.
Game 2prediction correct41:19
Team Unique 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 71%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2