Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs predictionGGUBINA13loss 0:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MooN teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GUBINA13
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
Yuragi · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
Arc Warden
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Clockwerk
HappyDyurara · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
HappyDyurara · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
649 picks · 476 bans
Puck
445 picks · 967 bans
Dawnbreaker
370 picks · 441 bans
Snapfire
366 picks · 189 bans
Mars
349 picks · 587 bans
Dragon Knight
332 picks · 447 bans
Marci
319 picks · 643 bans
Bane
308 picks · 188 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% MooN team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% MooN team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:17
GUBINA13 27%MooN team 73%
The model gave 73% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team in 28:41.
Game 2prediction correct22:12
GUBINA13 27%MooN team 73%
The model gave 73% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team in 23:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteMooN team · 73%
Series resultMooN team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2