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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
HFloss 0:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 13 games
54%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 13 games
62%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
60%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
80%

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 28 games
61%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 24 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 21 game
90%
Bane
Bane
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
dyrachyo · 19 games
63%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
640 picks · 473 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 958 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
369 picks · 435 bans
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 189 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
347 picks · 579 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 442 bans
50%
Marci
Marci
316 picks · 638 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
303 picks · 187 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total78% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:27
HF 22%Gaimin Gladiators 78%
The model gave 78% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:53.
Game 2prediction correct13:30
HF 22%Gaimin Gladiators 78%
The model gave 78% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 78%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2