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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 28 games
61%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 24 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 21 game
90%
Bane
Bane
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
dyrachyo · 19 games
63%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
61%

Brame

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
79%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 13 games
38%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 13 games
62%
Viper
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Mirana
Mirana
dEsire · 11 games
36%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
ThuG · 11 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
SsaSpartan · 10 games
80%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
dEsire · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
641 picks · 475 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
444 picks · 961 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
368 picks · 433 bans
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 189 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 584 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
332 picks · 445 bans
50%
Marci
Marci
316 picks · 635 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
308 picks · 188 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:28
Gaimin Gladiators 64%Brame 36%
The model gave 64% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Brame in 34:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Zeus
ZeusBOOM
46% · 118 games46% · 41 game
BristlebackNande
Bristleback
Pudge
Pudgedyrachyo
49% · 29 games49% · 249 games
TinyW1sh-
Tiny
Necrophos
NecrophosAce
55% · 91 game53% · 39 games
LycanSkyLark
Lycan
Dazzle
DazzleSeleri
52% · 47 games56% · 50 games
WarlockSsaSpartan
Warlock
Clockwerk
ClockwerktOfu
50% · 152 games47% · 58 games
Skywrath MageCTOMAHEH1
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction missed22:18
Gaimin Gladiators 63%Brame 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Brame in 40:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightdyrachyo
56% · 161 game46% · 118 games
TerrorbladeNande
Terrorblade
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
48% · 187 games60% · 50 games
LycanSkyLark
Lycan
Timbersaw
TimbersawBOOM
56% · 140 games48% · 274 games
TinyW1sh-
Tiny
Tusk
TusktOfu
50% · 100 games54% · 113 games
Winter WyvernSsaSpartan
Winter Wyvern
Dazzle
DazzleSeleri
47% · 54 games37% · 87 games
Skywrath MageCTOMAHEH1
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 75%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2