Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 17 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 14 games
Tinysignature
OmaR · 13 games
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 12 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 11 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
639 picks · 475 bans
Puck
445 picks · 958 bans
Dawnbreaker
366 picks · 431 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 189 bans
Mars
349 picks · 584 bans
Dragon Knight
333 picks · 446 bans
Marci
316 picks · 632 bans
Bane
308 picks · 190 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 53%
Hero pool strength57% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:23
Team Unique 57%PSG Quest 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Unique — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 36:11.
Game 2prediction missed19:38
Team Unique 57%PSG Quest 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Unique — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 35:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 57%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2