ESL One Malaysia 2022. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Enigmasignature
Kidaro · 11 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Era · 9 games
Terrorbladesignature
Otaker · 9 games
Tinysignature
Ari · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
Kidaro · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Otaker · 6 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Xibbe · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 6 games
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 16 games
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 16 games
Death Prophetoften banned
VANSKOR · 14 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 14 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Kiritych · 14 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
VANSKOR · 12 games
Rubick
Heaven · 11 games
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
613 picks · 463 bans
Puck
430 picks · 933 bans
Snapfire
361 picks · 187 bans
Mars
360 picks · 585 bans
Dawnbreaker
349 picks · 401 bans
Dragon Knight
337 picks · 458 bans
Bane
318 picks · 196 bans
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 586 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:37
Into The Breach 52%Nemiga Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 35:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverOtaker
BristlebackKiritych
Void SpiritSupream^
ViperCorrupted
Dragon KnightXibbe
BatriderMalr1ne
EnchantressKidaro
TinyHellscream
HoodwinkAri
Crystal Maidenso bad
Game 2prediction missed13:31
Into The Breach 52%Nemiga Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 36:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinySupream^
AlchemistKiritych
WindrangerOtaker
PuckMalr1ne
BrewmasterXibbe
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
EnchantressKidaro
Monkey KingHellscream
RubickAri
Winter Wyvernso bad
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 53%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2