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ESL One Malaysia 2022. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 16 games
44%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 16 games
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
VANSKOR · 14 games
36%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 14 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Kiritych · 14 games
43%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Heaven · 12 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
VANSKOR · 12 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
VANSKOR · 9 games
33%

BETBOOM TEAM

Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 10 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 8 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 8 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 8 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Petushara · 7 games
57%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 6 games
83%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
613 picks · 463 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
428 picks · 932 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
363 picks · 586 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
361 picks · 185 bans
51%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
345 picks · 399 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
339 picks · 459 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
319 picks · 197 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
304 picks · 586 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:15
Nemiga Gaming 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:11.
Game 2prediction correct24:25
Nemiga Gaming 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 71%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2