Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 16 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 14 games
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 12 games
Tinysignature
OmaR · 11 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 10 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 10 games
Brame
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 13 games
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
Mirana
dEsire · 11 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ThuG · 11 games
Skywrath Mage
dEsire · 11 games
Storm Spiritsignature
ThuG · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
610 picks · 464 bans
Puck
429 picks · 928 bans
Mars
367 picks · 594 bans
Snapfire
358 picks · 185 bans
Dragon Knight
346 picks · 466 bans
Dawnbreaker
344 picks · 394 bans
Bane
322 picks · 199 bans
Ember Spirit
308 picks · 587 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:28
PSG Quest 55%Brame 45%
The model gave 55% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by Brame in 32:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
EarthshakerNo!ob
MorphlingNande
TinyOmaR
TimbersawSkyLark
IoEixn
ZeusW1sh-
44% · 104 games
Enchantressvelheor
53% · 81 game
MarciSsaSpartan
Game 2prediction missed21:42
PSG Quest 53%Brame 47%
The model gave 53% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by Brame in 29:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SnapfireNo!ob
BristlebackNande
TinyOmaR
ZeusW1sh-
DazzleEixn
Nature's ProphetSkyLark
58% · 53 games
WarlockSsaSpartan
45% · 117 games
Marcivelheor
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 51%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2