ESL One Malaysia 2022. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SG e-sportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Bane
Prada · 11 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 11 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 7 games
Rubicksignature
Genek · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 6 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Prada · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Lumière · 5 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
587 picks · 452 bans
Puck
422 picks · 906 bans
Mars
369 picks · 580 bans
Dragon Knight
350 picks · 467 bans
Snapfire
348 picks · 179 bans
Dawnbreaker
327 picks · 378 bans
Bane
317 picks · 197 bans
Ember Spirit
296 picks · 580 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total73% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:29
Infamous 73%SG e-sports 27%
The model gave 73% on Infamous — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 35:56.
Game 2prediction missed29:16
Infamous 73%SG e-sports 27%
The model gave 73% on Infamous — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 24:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 73%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2