?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GamerLegionwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 22 games
68%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 14 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 13 games
23%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 11 games
36%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TraVins · 10 games
50%

GamerLegion

Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 22 games
41%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 20 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 19 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 19 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 13 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
23%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
681 picks · 840 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
590 picks · 611 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 420 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
486 picks · 330 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
420 picks · 1104 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
402 picks · 1019 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 699 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
390 picks · 629 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:32
REKONIX 40%GamerLegion 60%
The model gave 60% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 25:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerTraVins
49% · 404 games52% · 268 games
Shadow FiendShad
Shadow Fiend
Invoker
InvokerinYourdreaM
51% · 190 games51% · 155 games
KezRCY
Kez
Mars
MarsFbz
49% · 445 games56% · 101 game
EnigmaFayde
Enigma
Faceless Void
Faceless Voiddalul
51% · 97 games47% · 582 games
JakiroSpeeed
Jakiro
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanVarizh
48% · 473 games47% · 503 games
TinyBignum
Tiny
Game 2prediction correct19:46
REKONIX 40%GamerLegion 60%
The model gave 60% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 30:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkainYourdreaM
50% · 209 games51% · 53 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Meepo
MeepoTraVins
61% · 11 games61% · 31 game
Faceless VoidShad
Faceless Void
Batrider
BatriderFbz
51% · 303 games51% · 65 games
EnigmaFayde
Enigma
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorVarizh
47% · 18 games41% · 235 games
TinyBignum
Tiny
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritdalul
63% · 35 games44% · 192 games
JakiroSpeeed
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 68%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2