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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 20 games
55%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 20 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 19 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
44%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 13 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
23%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 43 games
74%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 39 games
64%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 30 games
63%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 27 games
74%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 24 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 24 games
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
678 picks · 836 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
585 picks · 606 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
482 picks · 419 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
481 picks · 328 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
419 picks · 1096 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 697 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
398 picks · 1014 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
389 picks · 627 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 52%
Hero pool strength58% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:35
GamerLegion 27%Team Yandex 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 31:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendShad
52% · 294 games52% · 326 games
MarciWatson
Marci
Pangolier
PangolierRCY
44% · 257 games56% · 226 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
48% · 332 games56% · 427 games
BatriderNoticed
Batrider
Warlock
WarlockSpeeed
47% · 445 games51% · 316 games
PhoenixMalady
Phoenix
Tiny
TinyBignum
45% · 463 games50% · 496 games
Shadow ShamanSaksa
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct8:32
GamerLegion 27%Team Yandex 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 32:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaShad
46% · 70 games46% · 434 games
BeastmasterWatson
Beastmaster
Kez
KezRCY
44% · 150 games51% · 312 games
BristlebackNoticed
Bristleback
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
52% · 473 games55% · 345 games
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Slardar
Warlock
WarlockSpeeed
50% · 557 games51% · 302 games
PhoenixMalady
Phoenix
Tusk
TuskBignum
50% · 601 game56% · 458 games
Shadow DemonSaksa
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 87%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2