ESL One Malaysia 2022. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gaming Rebornloss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PARI PARNIwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V-Gaming Reborn
Dawnbreakeroften banned
b1kA · 2 games
Chenoften banned
antoha · 1 game
Dazzle
antoha · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
layme · 1 game
Lone Druidoften banned
Shachlo · 1 game
Puckoften banned
hAze · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
layme · 1 game
Visageoften banned
Shachlo · 1 game
PARI PARNI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
581 picks · 446 bans
Puck
416 picks · 889 bans
Mars
375 picks · 586 bans
Dragon Knight
360 picks · 470 bans
Snapfire
349 picks · 180 bans
Bane
318 picks · 213 bans
Dawnbreaker
308 picks · 366 bans
Ember Spirit
297 picks · 576 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 40%
Hero pool strength58% V-Gaming Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% V-Gaming Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:18
V-Gaming Reborn 62%PARI PARNI 38%
The model gave 62% on V-Gaming Reborn — the game was taken by V-Gaming Reborn in 41:06.
Game 2prediction missed2:18
V-Gaming Reborn 62%PARI PARNI 38%
The model gave 62% on V-Gaming Reborn — the game was taken by PARI PARNI in 17:04.
Game 3prediction missed27:35
V-Gaming Reborn 62%PARI PARNI 38%
The model gave 62% on V-Gaming Reborn — the game was taken by PARI PARNI in 27:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming Reborn · 62%
Series resultPARI PARNI 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3