ESL One Malaysia 2022. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Sand King Gomezwin 1:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The Cutloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sand King Gomez
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 12 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 10 games
Techies
bgod · 10 games
Bane
Overlom · 8 games
Necrophosoften banned
high_shaggy · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Rajjix · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 6 games
Clockwerk
Jubei · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
584 picks · 447 bans
Puck
413 picks · 890 bans
Mars
379 picks · 590 bans
Dragon Knight
360 picks · 475 bans
Snapfire
349 picks · 179 bans
Bane
324 picks · 216 bans
Dawnbreaker
307 picks · 364 bans
Ember Spirit
299 picks · 576 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 23%
Hero pool strength58% Sand King Gomez
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Sand King Gomez 43%The Cut 57%
The model gave 57% on The Cut — the game was taken by Sand King Gomez.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 57%
Series resultSand King Gomez 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1