ESL One Malaysia 2022. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 1:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Mind Gamesloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Enigmasignature
Kidaro · 9 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Era · 9 games
Terrorbladesignature
Otaker · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 6 games
Pucksignature
Supream^ · 6 games
Bane
5up · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
Kidaro · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xibbe · 5 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
583 picks · 444 bans
Puck
412 picks · 887 bans
Mars
379 picks · 590 bans
Dragon Knight
360 picks · 474 bans
Snapfire
348 picks · 179 bans
Bane
324 picks · 216 bans
Dawnbreaker
304 picks · 363 bans
Ember Spirit
299 picks · 575 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:18
Into The Breach 62%Mind Games 38%
The model gave 62% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 36:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 62%
Series resultInto The Breach 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1