ESL One Malaysia 2022. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
EZ KATKAloss 0:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Mind Gameswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EZ KATKA
Puckoften banned
Rvze · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 2 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Lefitan · 2 games
Skywrath Mage
Lefitan · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Lukas · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Wuiter · 2 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 2 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
582 picks · 442 bans
Puck
410 picks · 883 bans
Mars
379 picks · 591 bans
Dragon Knight
360 picks · 473 bans
Snapfire
348 picks · 179 bans
Bane
323 picks · 216 bans
Dawnbreaker
301 picks · 360 bans
Ember Spirit
299 picks · 574 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 36%
Hero pool strength51% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Mind Games
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:26
EZ KATKA 46%Mind Games 54%
The model gave 54% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Mind Games in 43:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteMind Games · 54%
Series resultMind Games 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1