Gamers8 Riyadh Masters · BO2
result vs prediction
OGloss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Pucksignature
bzm · 15 games
Windrangersignature
Ceb · 15 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 14 games
Razorsignature
ATF · 14 games
Enigmasignature
Taiga · 13 games
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 13 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Yuragi · 11 games
Storm Spiritsignature
bzm · 10 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
579 picks · 443 bans
Puck
409 picks · 873 bans
Mars
388 picks · 600 bans
Dragon Knight
365 picks · 476 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 177 bans
Bane
328 picks · 221 bans
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 581 bans
Dawnbreaker
298 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 55%
Hero pool strength60% OG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:30
OG 57%Royal Never Give Up 43%
The model gave 57% on OG — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 35:27.
Game 2prediction correct50:41
OG 57%Royal Never Give Up 43%
The model gave 57% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 51:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2