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ESL One Malaysia 2022. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TOXIC BOYS SKRwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 14 games
36%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 13 games
38%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 12 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cys · 11 games
45%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 9 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
57%
Bane
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
17%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Nuages · 6 games
67%

TOXIC BOYS SKR

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
584 picks · 443 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
407 picks · 869 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 607 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
373 picks · 485 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
345 picks · 174 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
336 picks · 227 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
311 picks · 586 bans
45%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
294 picks · 346 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% TOXIC BOYS SKR
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:29
Infinity Esports 78%TOXIC BOYS SKR 22%
The model gave 78% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by TOXIC BOYS SKR in 34:45.
Game 2prediction missed11:30
Infinity Esports 78%TOXIC BOYS SKR 22%
The model gave 78% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by TOXIC BOYS SKR in 30:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 78%
Series resultTOXIC BOYS SKR 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2