Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
MooN teamloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 16 games
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 12 games
Puckoften banned
No!ob · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 11 games
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 9 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 9 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
592 picks · 451 bans
Mars
406 picks · 627 bans
Puck
405 picks · 863 bans
Dragon Knight
386 picks · 497 bans
Bane
359 picks · 236 bans
Snapfire
341 picks · 170 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 599 bans
Chaos Knight
298 picks · 649 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 51%
Hero pool strength56% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% MooN team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:42
MooN team 65%PSG Quest 35%
The model gave 65% on MooN team — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 51:03.
Game 2prediction missed27:29
MooN team 65%PSG Quest 35%
The model gave 65% on MooN team — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 35:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteMooN team · 65%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2