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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 1:2
OGwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 31 game
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 30 games
50%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 28 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 25 games
72%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 24 games
75%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 22 games
59%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 21 game
62%

OG

Windranger
Windranger
Tims · 16 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 13 games
31%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Natsumi · 13 games
38%
Mirana
Mirana
Skem · 12 games
17%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Tims · 9 games
67%
Bane
Banesignature
Skem · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Tims · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
525 picks · 308 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
424 picks · 185 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
386 picks · 172 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 505 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
326 picks · 295 bans
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 310 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
300 picks · 507 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
280 picks · 153 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 32%
Hero pool strength64% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 3
Model total78% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:15
BETBOOM TEAM 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaKiritych
50% · 118 games36% · 29 games
Troll WarlordTopson
Troll Warlord
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
56% · 98 games43% · 361 game
TinyNatsumi
Tiny
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritSave-
50% · 183 games52% · 291 game
Centaur WarrunnerSSS
Centaur Warrunner
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorKataomi
52% · 89 games54% · 204 games
TechiesSkem
Techies
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
53% · 700 games45% · 303 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed34:30
BETBOOM TEAM 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 49:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidKiritych
51% · 59 games46% · 102 games
SvenNatsumi
Sven
Brewmaster
BrewmasterMieRo
50% · 51 game56% · 96 games
NecrophosSSS
Necrophos
Pangolier
PangolierSave-
54% · 129 games50% · 184 games
InvokerTopson
Invoker
Tusk
TuskKataomi
47% · 162 games59% · 66 games
Witch DoctorSkem
Witch Doctor
Dark Willow
Dark Willowswedenstrong
44% · 121 game42% · 74 games
PudgeOneJey
Pudge
Game 3prediction missed22:35
BETBOOM TEAM 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 39:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanMieRo
53% · 59 games52% · 81 game
SvenNatsumi
Sven
Tiny
TinyKiritych
49% · 259 games50% · 138 games
Earth SpiritTopson
Earth Spirit
Muerta
MuertaSave-
56% · 101 game48% · 108 games
BrewmasterSSS
Brewmaster
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorKataomi
51% · 65 games46% · 168 games
TechiesSkem
Techies
Dark Willow
Dark Willowswedenstrong
48% · 169 games49% · 158 games
GyrocopterOneJey
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 78%
Series resultOG 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3