Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MooN teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 12 games
Mirana
dEsire · 11 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ThuG · 11 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Focus · 11 games
Enchantresssignature
SsaSpartan · 10 games
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
589 picks · 458 bans
Mars
419 picks · 644 bans
Puck
407 picks · 858 bans
Dragon Knight
390 picks · 513 bans
Bane
371 picks · 250 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 167 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 619 bans
Pangolier
310 picks · 535 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% MooN team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:11
Brame 47%MooN team 53%
The model gave 53% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team in 31:23.
Game 2prediction correct20:25
Brame 47%MooN team 53%
The model gave 53% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team in 30:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteMooN team · 53%
Series resultMooN team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2