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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 2:0
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PARIVISIONloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 20 games
55%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 19 games
53%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 19 games
42%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 17 games
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 17 games
41%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 13 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
23%

PARIVISION

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 24 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
9Class · 19 games
58%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
41%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 16 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
60%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
No[o]ne · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
665 picks · 826 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
578 picks · 593 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
472 picks · 415 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
471 picks · 320 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
414 picks · 1082 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
394 picks · 695 bans
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
386 picks · 998 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
383 picks · 625 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total79% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:25
GamerLegion 34%PARIVISION 66%
The model gave 66% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 38:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerRCY
50% · 118 games55% · 286 games
UrsaSatanic
Ursa
Weaver
WeaverShad
56% · 152 games44% · 390 games
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
Beastmaster
Underlord
UnderlordFayde
48% · 263 games45% · 392 games
MarsSSS
Mars
Warlock
WarlockSpeeed
48% · 523 games54% · 321 game
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Tusk
TuskBignum
45% · 602 games53% · 269 games
PhoenixDukalis
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed23:22
GamerLegion 37%PARIVISION 63%
The model gave 63% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 40:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerRCY
47% · 115 games48% · 96 games
LunaSatanic
Luna
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendShad
53% · 231 game49% · 298 games
PangolierNo[o]ne
Pangolier
Underlord
UnderlordFayde
51% · 188 games55% · 203 games
ChenDukalis
Chen
Tiny
TinyBignum
42% · 460 games53% · 303 games
BatriderSSS
Batrider
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSpeeed
51% · 294 games50% · 388 games
Shadow Shaman9Class
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 79%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2