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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
X3loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 13 games
31%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 13 games
77%
Viper
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 11 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
ThuG · 11 games
45%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Focus · 11 games
36%
Mirana
Mirana
dEsire · 10 games
30%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Focus · 10 games
40%

X3

Bane
Bane
antoha · 22 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 18 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
NattyNarwhal · 12 games
67%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
smN · 12 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
smN · 12 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
NattyNarwhal · 11 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Shergarat · 10 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Mastery · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
581 picks · 457 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
427 picks · 655 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
398 picks · 521 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
389 picks · 858 bans
55%
Bane
Bane
377 picks · 257 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 625 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
336 picks · 162 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 548 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% X3
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% X3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:27
Brame 49%X3 51%
The model gave 51% on X3 — the game was taken by Brame in 46:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaFocus
55% · 146 games56% · 223 games
Monkey Kinglayme
Monkey King
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightW1sh-
39% · 156 games55% · 49 games
ZeusNattyNarwhal
Zeus
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSkyLark
50% · 87 games54% · 166 games
BeastmasterShergarat
Beastmaster
Mirana
MiranaThuG
57% · 190 games41% · 177 games
Enchantressvelheor
Enchantress
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernSsaSpartan
52% · 89 games43% · 53 games
JakirosmN
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed32:32
Brame 47%X3 53%
The model gave 53% on X3 — the game was taken by Brame in 37:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautFocus
50% · 90 games47% · 106 games
Bloodseekerlayme
Bloodseeker
Void Spirit
Void SpiritW1sh-
44% · 214 games46% · 273 games
PuckNattyNarwhal
Puck
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSkyLark
60% · 165 games54% · 68 games
EnigmaShergarat
Enigma
Enchantress
EnchantressSsaSpartan
53% · 133 games50% · 177 games
Clockwerkvelheor
Clockwerk
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanThuG
52% · 98 games43% · 76 games
Ogre MagismN
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteX3 · 54%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2