Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Китай · BO3
result vs predictionTSTeam Saiyanloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Saiyan
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
565 picks · 464 bans
Mars
437 picks · 670 bans
Dragon Knight
416 picks · 531 bans
Bane
394 picks · 266 bans
Puck
379 picks · 842 bans
Pangolier
341 picks · 565 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 642 bans
Chaos Knight
328 picks · 656 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Team Saiyan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:31
Team Saiyan 32%Ybb Gaming 68%
The model gave 68% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 40:57.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Saiyan 32%Ybb Gaming 68%
The model gave 68% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 68%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2