?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HFwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 19 games
47%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 14 games
79%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 14 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Hduo · 13 games
31%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 10 games
20%
Bane
Bane
Hduo · 9 games
22%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 9 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 9 games
56%

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 11 games
73%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 11 games
64%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
533 picks · 452 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 683 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
424 picks · 544 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
396 picks · 283 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 591 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
343 picks · 795 bans
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
338 picks · 548 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 626 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% HF
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:34
cybercats 53%HF 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by HF in 49:31.
Game 2prediction correct18:40
cybercats 53%HF 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 43:19.
Game 3prediction missed33:14
cybercats 53%HF 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by HF in 34:27.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 53%
Series resultHF 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3