Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Snapfire
Jupiter · 13 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 11 games
Marsoften banned
Cys · 11 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 5 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
522 picks · 448 bans
Mars
459 picks · 683 bans
Dragon Knight
429 picks · 544 bans
Bane
405 picks · 286 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 594 bans
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 562 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 629 bans
Chaos Knight
332 picks · 651 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 41%
Hero pool strength56% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total52% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:33
Infinity Esports 52%Hokori 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Hokori in 42:36.
Game 2prediction missed33:9
Infinity Esports 52%Hokori 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Hokori in 31:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 52%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2