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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Aster

Bane
Banesignature
Fantasy · 26 games
77%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Fantasy · 21 game
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Fantasy · 19 games
58%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
BoBoKa · 17 games
59%
Io
Iosignature
BoBoKa · 13 games
85%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Ori · 13 games
54%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
515 picks · 444 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
462 picks · 682 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
429 picks · 541 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
408 picks · 285 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 592 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 565 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 627 bans
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
333 picks · 653 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 53%
Hero pool strength57% Team Aster
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total51% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:20
Team Aster 51%Royal Never Give Up 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 38:06.
Game 2prediction missed19:19
Team Aster 51%Royal Never Give Up 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 50:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 51%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2