Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
HFloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Sorrywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HF
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 15 games
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 10 games
Iosignature
Kaori · 9 games
Pucksignature
hAze · 9 games
Bane
Malady · 8 games
No Sorry
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 46 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 39 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 33 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 32 games
Tiny
Worick · 30 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 29 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 25 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
500 picks · 431 bans
Mars
456 picks · 684 bans
Dragon Knight
428 picks · 535 bans
Bane
407 picks · 289 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 591 bans
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 569 bans
Chaos Knight
333 picks · 643 bans
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 621 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% HF
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:31
HF 44%No Sorry 56%
The model gave 56% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 37:06.
Game 2prediction correct12:30
HF 44%No Sorry 56%
The model gave 56% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 23:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 56%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2