Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Atlantiswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 9 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ksh · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Tiny
Ksh · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
496 picks · 431 bans
Mars
456 picks · 682 bans
Dragon Knight
427 picks · 535 bans
Bane
406 picks · 289 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 591 bans
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 569 bans
Chaos Knight
332 picks · 643 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 620 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:18
Yangon Galacticos 47%Atlantis 53%
The model gave 53% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 28:19.
Game 2prediction correct15:42
Yangon Galacticos 47%Atlantis 53%
The model gave 53% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Atlantis in 34:14.
Game 3prediction correct28:29
Yangon Galacticos 47%Atlantis 53%
The model gave 53% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Atlantis in 40:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 53%
Series resultAtlantis 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3