Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
11Monkeyzwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SPSURIM PRASADloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
SURIM PRASAD
Tiny
Alexxo · 1 game
Zeus
Alexxo · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
502 picks · 439 bans
Mars
464 picks · 687 bans
Dragon Knight
434 picks · 541 bans
Bane
423 picks · 290 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 595 bans
Storm Spirit
359 picks · 579 bans
Chaos Knight
335 picks · 649 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 22%
Hero pool strength56% 11Monkeyz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% 11Monkeyz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
11Monkeyz 78%SURIM PRASAD 22%
The model gave 78% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by 11Monkeyz.
Game 2prediction correct
11Monkeyz 78%SURIM PRASAD 22%
The model gave 78% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by 11Monkeyz.
Model check result
Model favorite11Monkeyz · 78%
Series result11Monkeyz 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2