Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
RFRed flowerloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Tiny
Ksh · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Red flower
Grimstroke
Yyh_ · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 439 bans
Mars
465 picks · 690 bans
Dragon Knight
432 picks · 540 bans
Bane
427 picks · 288 bans
Storm Spirit
364 picks · 584 bans
Pangolier
362 picks · 600 bans
Sand King
336 picks · 496 bans
Chaos Knight
335 picks · 648 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Red flower
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:9
Yangon Galacticos 47%Red flower 53%
The model gave 53% on Red flower — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 25:10.
Game 2prediction correct26:45
Yangon Galacticos 47%Red flower 53%
The model gave 53% on Red flower — the game was taken by Red flower in 39:58.
Game 3prediction missed20:10
Yangon Galacticos 47%Red flower 53%
The model gave 53% on Red flower — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 27:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed flower · 53%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3