Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
MooN teamwin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SPSURIM PRASADloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
SURIM PRASAD
Tiny
Alexxo · 1 game
Zeus
Alexxo · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
501 picks · 435 bans
Mars
464 picks · 690 bans
Dragon Knight
431 picks · 535 bans
Bane
427 picks · 289 bans
Storm Spirit
366 picks · 585 bans
Pangolier
363 picks · 599 bans
Sand King
337 picks · 498 bans
Chaos Knight
335 picks · 645 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 25%
Hero pool strength56% MooN team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% MooN team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
MooN team 87%SURIM PRASAD 13%
The model gave 87% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team.
Game 2prediction correct
MooN team 87%SURIM PRASAD 13%
The model gave 87% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team.
Model check result
Model favoriteMooN team · 87%
Series resultMooN team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2