Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO3
result vs predictionRFRed flowerwin 2:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gorillaloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Red flower
Grimstroke
Yyh_ · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Gorilla
Alchemistoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
Clockwerk
小郭嘉 · 2 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Night · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Night · 2 games
Bane
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 437 bans
Mars
474 picks · 692 bans
Bane
435 picks · 296 bans
Dragon Knight
434 picks · 537 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 601 bans
Storm Spirit
373 picks · 598 bans
Sand King
348 picks · 510 bans
Grimstroke
338 picks · 313 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 31%
Hero pool strength56% Gorilla
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% Red flower
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Red flower 61%Gorilla 39%
The model gave 61% on Red flower — the game was taken by Red flower.
Game 2prediction missed
Red flower 61%Gorilla 39%
The model gave 61% on Red flower — the game was taken by Gorilla.
Game 3prediction correct
Red flower 61%Gorilla 39%
The model gave 61% on Red flower — the game was taken by Red flower.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed flower · 61%
Series resultRed flower 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3