ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PARIVISIONloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 41 game
Tusksignature
Malady · 39 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 30 games
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 25 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 24 games
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 23 games
Ursasignature
Watson · 22 games
PARIVISION
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 23 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
9Class · 19 games
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
Slardaroften banned
No[o]ne · 17 games
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 16 games
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 14 games
Void Spirit
No[o]ne · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
645 picks · 819 bans
Tiny
564 picks · 585 bans
Tusk
465 picks · 402 bans
Warlock
459 picks · 303 bans
Shadow Demon
411 picks · 1056 bans
Ember Spirit
386 picks · 690 bans
Mars
380 picks · 615 bans
Shadow Fiend
372 picks · 977 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total56% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:32
Team Yandex 53%PARIVISION 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 47:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaWatson
Shadow FiendSatanic
Dark SeerNoticed
InvokerNo[o]ne
TinyChira JUNIOR
TidehunterSSS
JakiroMalady
PhoenixDukalis
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Shadow Shaman9Class
Game 2prediction correct39:33
Team Yandex 55%PARIVISION 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 43:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinWatson
Shadow FiendSatanic
InvokerChira JUNIOR
SlardarNo[o]ne
BatriderNoticed
Dark SeerSSS
WarlockMalady
JakiroDukalis
LionSaksa
Spirit Breaker9Class
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2